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Flowers Foods: A Strong Dividend Opportunity with Favorable Entry Point

by Jennifer

Flowers Foods, a prominent player in the packaged bakery food industry, boasts a substantial 17.4% share of the US bread market. With a forward-thinking approach, the company is revamping its brand portfolio by venturing into organic bread, gluten-free bread, and keto products, catering to the evolving preferences of modern consumers. These product lines often command a premium, adding to their appeal.

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The company’s growth trajectory has been bolstered by astute acquisitions, including notable names such as Canyon Bakehouse, Dave’s Killer Bread, and Papa Pita. In this evolving landscape, legacy brands like Tastykake are becoming a smaller part of the overall portfolio.

Presently, shares are deemed slightly undervalued, trading at $20.86. However, a potential drop below the $20.00 mark is seen as an attractive entry point, presenting a compelling buy opportunity.

Flowers Foods (NYSE: FLO) ranks as the second-largest producer of packaged bakery foods in the United States, following Bimbo Bakeries USA (OTCPK: BMBOY). Established in 1919, the company’s headquarters is situated in Thomasville, Georgia. Many of Flowers’ brands are household names in the American market, including Wonder Bread, Sunbeam Bread, Mrs. Freshley’s, Nature’s Own, Dave’s Killer Bread, Canyon Bakehouse, and Tastykake. The company’s distribution network involves independent partners, and its customer base spans supermarkets, fast food chains, discount chains, restaurants, dollar stores, and vending companies. Walmart/Sam’s Club stands out as the largest customer. With a commanding 17.4% share of the bread market and a noteworthy 74.7% share of the organic bread market, Flowers has positioned itself favorably by tapping into higher-priced organic brands.

Flowers Foods, a consumer staples company and a component of the S&P Mid Cap 400, currently carries a total market capitalization of $4.4 billion. It boasts a Beta of 0.45, indicating lower volatility compared to the broader market. As of now, shares trade at $20.86, witnessing a notable decline from their peak of $29.98 in November 2022. It is important to note that consumer staples rank as the second-worst performing sector in the S&P 500, with shares down 9.1% year-to-date, with only utilities performing slightly worse at a 9.3% decline.

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